Snapshot.POLAND

Heat Pumps Grew Rapidly in Poland in 2022

Amid a surging European heat pump market, Poland experienced the world's fastest growth in heat pumps in 2022. Sales of heat pumps in Poland grew 120% compared to 2021. Nearly a third of all new heating systems in Poland were heat pumps in 2022, and the country became the EU's fifth largest market in absolute terms.

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Heat Pumps Grew Rapidly in Poland in 2022

Amid a surging European heat pump market, Poland experienced the world's fastest growth in heat pumps in 2022. Sales of heat pumps in Poland grew 120% compared to 2021. Nearly a third of all new heating systems in Poland were heat pumps in 2022, and the country became the EU's fifth largest market in absolute terms.

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Poland's heat pump market has been on the upswing for several years. The number of units sold has increased from around 12,000 in 2012 to more than 200,000 in 2022. The rapid market growth began in 2018 following the reform of an air pollution law that increased financial support for heat pumps to replace coal-fired heating systems. Notably, Poland is one of the only European countries to provide renewable heating subsidies adjusted to household income.

Heat pumps are not the only energy technology to experience rapid growth in Poland. Solar PV markets also have skyrocketed, with Poland becoming the EU's third largest market in 2022. (See Figure 20.) The Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine also resulted in support for solar PV in 2022, with fossil gas and coal prices increasing substantially and consumers eager to avoid buying Russian gas.

FIGURE 20.

Sales of Heat Pumps and Additions of Solar PV in Poland, 2012-2022

FIGURE 20.

Source: See endnote 18 for this section.

  1. International Energy Agency (IEA), “The Future of Heat Pumps”,
    November 2022, https://www.iea.org/reports/the-future-of-heat-
    pumps
    . 1
  2. Ibid.2
  3. Ibid.3
  4. IEA, “Heat Pumps – Analysis”, 2022, https://www.iea.org/reports/heat-pumps.4
  5. IEA, op. cit. note 1.5
  6. IEA, op. cit. note 4.6
  7. IEA, op. cit. note 1. 7
  8. Y. Monschauer, C. Delmastro and R. Martinez-Gordon, “Global Heat Pump Sales Continue Double-Digit Growth – Analysis”, IEA, 2023, https://www.iea.org/commentaries/global-heat-pump-sales-continue-double-digit-growth. 8
  9. Ibid.9
  10. IEA, op. cit. note 1. 10
  11. AHRI, “AHRI Releases December 2022 U.S. Heating, Cooling Equipment Shipment Data”, February 10, 2023, https://www.ahrinet.org/news-events/news/ahri-releases-december-2022-us-heating-cooling-equipment-shipment-data. Figure 19 from IEA, op. cit. note 8. 11
  12. Ibid.12
  13. M.V. Olano, “Chart: Americans Bought More Heat Pumps than Gas Furnaces Last Year”, Canary Media, February 10, 2023, https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/heat-pumps/chart-americans-bought-more-heat-pumps-than-gas-furnaces-last-year. 13
  14. J. Rosenow and D. Gibb, “Guest Post: How the Energy Crisis Is Boosting Heat Pumps in Europe”, Carbon Brief, March 21, 2023, https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-the-energy-crisis-is-boosting-heat-pumps-in-europe. 14
  15. Ibid.15
  16. Ibid.16
  17. Ibid.17
  18. Polska Organizacja Rozwoju Technologii Pomp Ciepła (PORT PC), “Ponad dwukrotny wzrost sprzedaży powietrznych pomp ciepła w I poł. 2022 roku!” August 17, 2022, https://portpc.pl/ponad-dwukrotny-wzrost-sprzedazy-powietrznych-pomp-ciepla-w-i-pol-2022-roku. Snapshot: Poland from the following sources: PORT PC, op. cit. this note; Rosenow and Gibb, op. cit. note 14; PORT PC, “PORT PC: 2022 – the year of heat pumps in Poland”, February 8, 2023, https://portpc.pl/port-pc-2022-rok-pomp-ciepla-w-polsce; https://www.gov.pl/web/climate/clean-air-20-programme-launched (using Google Translate); D. Gibb and M. Morawiecka, “Cleaning Up Heat: The Changing Economics for Heat Pumps in Poland”, Regulatory Assistance Project, November 2022, https://www.raponline.org/knowledge-center/cleaning-up-heat-the-changing-economics-for-heat-pumps-in-poland; L. Sunderland and D. Gibb, “Taking the Burn Out of Heating for Low-Income Households”, Regulatory Assistance Project, December 15, 2022, https://www.raponline.org/knowledge-center/taking-burn-out-of-heating-low-income-households; SolarPower Europe, “EU Market Outlook for Solar Power 2022-2026”, 2022, https://www.solarpowereurope.org/insights/market-outlooks/eu-market-outlook-for-solar-power-2022-2026-2; International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), “Renewable Capacity and Generation Statistics 2022”, 2022, https://www.irena.org/publications/2022/Apr/Renewable-Capacity-Statistics-2022. Figure 20 from PORT PC, op. cit. this note, and from IRENA, op. cit. this note. 18
  19. European Heat Pump Association (EHPA), “Heat Pump Record: 3 Million Units Sold in 2022, Contributing to REPowerEU Targets”, February 20, 2023, https://www.ehpa.org/press_releases/heat-pump-record-3-million-units-sold-in-2022-contributing-to-repowereu-targets. 19
  20. IEA, op. cit. note 1. 20
  21. Y. Monschauer, IEA, personal communication with REN21, March 15, 2023.21
  22. J. Rosenow, Regulatory Assistance Project, personal communication with REN21, March 18, 2023.22
  23. T. DiChristopher and A. Duquiatan, "States that outlaw gas bans account for 31% of US residential/commercial gas use", S&P Global, June 9, 2022, https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/states-that-outlaw-gas-bans-account-for-31-of-us-residential-commercial-gas-use-70749584. 23
  24. IEA, op. cit. note 4.24
  25. IRENA, “Renewable Solutions in End-Uses: Heat Pump Costs and Markets”, November 28, 2022, https://www.irena.org/Publications/2022/Nov/Renewable-solutions-in-end-uses-Heat-pump-costs-and-markets. 25
  26. Ibid.; IEA, op. cit. note 1.26
  27. BASF, “A Heatpump as Big as a Soccer Field”, https://www.basf.com/global/en/who-we-are/change-for-climate/heatpump.html, accessed April 10, 2023; P. Hockenos, “In Europe's Clean Energy Transition, Industry Turns to Heat Pumps”, Greenbiz, February 1,
    2023, https://www.greenbiz.com/article/europes-clean-energy-transition-industry-turns-heat-pumps; American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, “Industrial Heat Pumps: Electrifying Industry's Process Heat Supply”, 2022, https://www.aceee.org/research-report/ie2201; A. Ivanova, “BASF Plans 120-MW Heat Pump to Decarbonise Ludwigshafen Site”, Renewables Now, July 4, 2022, https://renewablesnow.com/news/basf-plans-120-mw-heat-pump-to-decarbonise-ludwigshafen-site-790457. 27
  28. IRENA, op. cit. note 25.28
  29. DW, “Can Heat Pumps Replace Fossil Fuels for Heat?” September 16, 2022, https://www.dw.com/en/heat-pumps-district-heating-decarbonize-energy-crisis-russian-oil-and-gas/a-63053664. 29
  30. E. Townend, “The Enormous Heat Pumps Warming Cities”, BBC News, January 31, 2023, https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20230131-can-city-dwellers-ever-have-heat-pumps?ocid=global_future_rss&utm_source=flipboard&utm_content=user%2Fbbcfuture. 30
  31. Eneco, “Start of Construction of Largest Heat Pump in the Netherlands”, July 5, 2022, https://news.eneco.com/start-of-construction-of-largest-heat-pump-in-the-netherlands; Helsingin kaupunki, “Helen rakentaa Eiranrantaan uuden lämpöpumppulaitoksen”, December 20, 2022, https://www.hel.fi/fi/uutiset/helen-rakentaa-eiranrantaan-uuden-lampopumppulaitoksen; T. Gualtieri and K. Pohjanpalo, “How Cold Seawater Can Heat Helsinki's Homes”, Bloomberg, October 18, 2022, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-18/helsinki-utility-finds-a-surprising-heat-source-icy-seawater; DerStandard.at, “Europas Größte Wärmepumpe Holt Energie Aus Wiens Abwasser”, February 2, 2023, https://www.derstandard.at/story/2000143180017/europas-groesste-waermepumpe-holt-energie-aus-wiens-abwasser; energie-experten, “Wärmepumpe nutzt Rhein für Mannheimer Fernwärme”, https://www.energie-experten.org/projekte/waermepumpe-nutzt-rhein-fuer-mannheimer-fernwaerme, accessed April 10, 2023; Vahterus, “40 MW Ammonia Heat Pumps Are Revolutionising District Heating in Sweden”, https://vahterus.com/resources/cases/40-mw-ammonia-heat-pumps-are-revolutionising-district-heating-in-sweden, accessed March 29, 2023. 31
  32. IEA, op. cit. note 1, p. 43.32
  33. Ibid., p. 79; T. Nowak, EHPA, personal communication with REN21, May 8, 2023.33
  34. Daikin Europe, “Daikin Europe Invests €300 Million in New Polish Heat Pump Heating Factory”, July 7, 2022, https://www.daikin.eu/en_us/press-releases/daikin-europe-invests-300-million-in-new-polish-heat-pump-heatin.html; IEA, op. cit. note 1. 34
  35. IEA, op. cit. note 1; Vaillant Group, “Vaillant Group Opens Mega Factory for Heat Pumps”, March 10, 2023, https://www.vaillant-group.com/news-stories/vaillant-group-opens-mega-factory-for-heat-pumps.html. 35
  36. Energie und Management, “Wärme: Wärmepumpenbauer steckt 600 Mio. Euro in die Produktion”, August 30, 2022, https://www.energie-und-management.de/nachrichten/energietechnik/detail/waermepumpenbauer-steckt-600-mio.-euro-in-die-produktion-162386. 36
  37. A. Mannweiller, “Wer stellt die Wärmepumpen her?“ tagesschau, August 12, 2022, https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/waermepumpen-hersteller-deutschland-international-101.html; BDR Therma Group, “BDR Thermea Group ramps up heat pump production to meet rising market demand”, October 11, 2022, https://www.bdrthermeagroup.com/en/stories/bdr-thermea-group-ramps-up-heat-pump-production-to-meet-rising-market-demand; I. Haluza, "Slovakia is becoming a new heat pump paradise. In a short time, a second large investor wants to produce them here", Dennik, July 9, 2020, https://e.dennikn.sk/2926736/slovensko-sa-stava-novym-rajom-tepelnych-cerpadiel-v-kratkom-case-ich-tu-chce-vyrabat-uz-druhy-velky-investor; T. Nowak, “Heat Pump Investments in Europe – An Overview”, September 2022, https://www.linkedin.com/posts/thomasnowakeu_conversation-activity-6970985100586950657-VNc1; J. Dumez, "Dans le Pas-de-Calais, Atlantic investit 25 millions d'euros dans un centre technique”, Le Moniteur, 1 February 2023, https://www.lemoniteur.fr/article/dans-le-pas-de-calais-atlantic-investit-25-millions-d-euros-dans-un-centre-technique.2252706; IEA, op. cit. note 1; P. Tisheva, “Panasonic increasing heat pump output at Czech plant”, Renewables Now, April 15, 2022, https://renewablesnow.com/news/panasonic-increasing-heat-pump-output-at-czech-plant-781193. 37
  38. Nowak, op. cit. note 37.38
  39. Rewiring America, “What the IRA Means for Heat Pump Manufacturers”, https://assets.ctfassets.net/v4qx5q5o44nj/E5eXsBxtn4IyCYpKqt6nJ/f4a0d89a8bf6bff9f385d51b6f15e0a9/IRA_OEMs_Fact_Sheet.pdf, accessed May 5, 2023; US Department of Energy, “Biden-Harris Administration Announces $250 Million Investment from Inflation Reduction Act for Domestic Heat Pump Manufacturing”, November 2, 2022, https://www.energy.gov/articles/biden-harris-administration-announces-250-million-investment-inflation-reduction-act. 39
  40. B. Santos, “LG reveals plans for US heat pump factory”, pv magazine, April 5, 2023, https://www.pv-magazine.com/2023/04/05/lg-reveals-plans-for-us-heat-pump-factory. 40
  41. R. Lowes et al., “A Policy Toolkit for Global Mass Heat Pump Deployment”, Regulatory Assistance Project, November 14, 2022, https://www.raponline.org/knowledge-center/policy-toolkit-global-mass-heat-pump-deployment. 41
  42. IRENA, op. cit. note 25; IEA, op. cit. note 1.42
  43. IEA, op. cit. note 1.43
  44. Lowes et al., op. cit. note 41. 44
  45. J. Rosenow et al., “Levelling the Playing Field: Aligning Heating Energy Taxes and Levies in Europe with Climate Goals”, Regulatory Assistance Project, July 12, 2022, https://www.raponline.org/knowledge-center/aligning-heating-energy-taxes-levies-europe-climate-goals. 45
  46. Ibid.46
  47. For example, in 2022 the electric utility Electric Ireland introduced a night-time rate around half the price of its day rate to encourage heat pump users to operate their devices during the night, from IEA, op. cit. note 1. In early 2023, Ontario (Canada) introduced an “ultra-low” overnight tariff that significantly improved the running costs for heat pumps compared to fossil fuel systems. See CBC, "Ontario rolls out 'ultra low' overnight hydro rate to encourage demand shift", April 11, 2023, https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-ultra-low-overnight-hydro-rate-1.6806693. 47
  48. IEA, op. cit. note 1. 48
  49. Ibid.49
  50. Ibid.50
  51. Ibid.51
  52. European Parliament, “Fluorinated Gases: Reinforced EU Action to Cut Emissions”, March 30, 2023, https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20230327IPR78543/fluorinated-gases-reinforced-eu-action-to-cut-emissions; EHPA, “F-Gas Ban Jeopardises REPowerEU Targets”, https://www.ehpa.org/press_releases/f-gas-ban-jeopardises-repowereu-targets, accessed March 30, 2023; IEA, op. cit. note 1; Nowak, op. cit. note 33. 52
  53. Nowak, op. cit. note 33.53